4.5 Worksheet AP Coll Government

Standard 4-3: I can read graphic representations and charts to find information about government and politics.

Instructions: Using this poll (LINK), answer the following questions about the New York Times Sienna College Poll

1. What does the poll say about who is “leading” in the 2024 election?	Kamala
1. What is the margin of error in this poll? Is Donald Trump within the margin of error?	It’s ±2.4 points, meaning that if Kamala was overestimated and Trump was underestimated then Trump could be leading
1. Scroll down to the bottom, read about how the poll was conducted. What potential problems do you see with this poll?	- This poll uses phone polling meaning young people would be less likely to answer.

A copy of the transcript is not provided, meaning leading phrasing could’ve been used during the calls
The polling only covered 3,385 registered voters when the total is roughly 160,000. Meaning that this poll covered about 2% of registered voters |

Instructions: Look at his poll (LINK) and answer the following questions about it:

1. How is this poll, or data analysis, different from the poll from the New York Times that we looked at in the previous link?	This also says that Kamala will win but it uses more graphs and fancy imagery.
1. Which source (The New York Times or 538) do you think is more valuable in predicting the election? Why?	To be completely honest my gut is telling me that 538 is using graphs and jargon to hide something; unlike the NYT they don’t display the question and rely more on “simulations” from unknown sources. So I trust the NYT more as they display their question.